Fehrm Capital Managment - Recent Reports

MARKETS SELLS OFF

The QQQ broke hard through the 50 day m.a. with an increase in volume…Price needs to reclaim the 50 day and HOLD..

SPY..same situation..

Fear as entered the Market…..for now…

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Market Expectation Breaker

QQQ ETF is testing support at the 50 day moving average …Watch this area for support..before any adds to ETF or current stock holdings this level must be held.. If price break this level., reduce exposure would be appropriate..

 

SPY ETF is also testing the 50 day moving average..looking …

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Sorry 2 of our charts did not appear SPY and QQQ..

We are still in early stages of getting website up and running…

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Price Breaks down off peak on Thursday.

A few charts to review.. 

Spy Testing the green line the 21 day moving average…Watch to see if holds or break down to red line the 50 day m.a…

QQQ…Price broke below the 21 day..and looks to test the 50 day m.a…We need to see price close above the 21 …

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Quick update on Transportation Sector

ok to start a position here around    267….with   A 5% stop..

below are the companies in this index..

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Fehrm Report for Week of December 11,2023.

The QQQ on a Monthly chart, forming a base or what we call a cup and handle.

The QQQ on a daily chart 

The SPY on Weekly chart..moving out of range..

Below are the major sector ETFs, only Energy (XLE) is in a downtrend.

Below are our  current/holdings..all in uptrends …

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Quick up date

time to be patient for new adds..

Have a Great Day..

Bob Fehrmann 

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Fehrmann report for week of December 4,2023

Below are the 4 major Index ETFs..The DIA ( Dow Jones 30 stocks)  breaking out of range.

The SPY(500 largest companies).  At top of range…poised to breakout..

The QQQ(100 largest Tech companies)..digesting right at top of range.

IWM (2000 small companies)  has been the weakest segment of the market , …

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Quick Update Thursday November 30,2023

Good Morning…

an IPO to watch   


Have a Great bday,

Bob Fehrmann 

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Fehrm Report for Week Beginning November 27,2023.

The QQQ (100 largest Technology companies) is still the strongest of our investable ETFs..price broke out of range and above July high of 387.98…and above all moving averages.. 

The SPY ETF (500 largest companies) is nearing a breakout of its July high of 459.44…and above all moving averages..

Below are …

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FEHRM Repport for week of November 20,2023

Lets review our 2 favorite investable ETFS..QQQ( 100 largest technology companies) is the strongest. .Look a  breakout of above the July high of 387.98 as possible add…or see if we get a pullback down near the 21 day moving average for a lower risk add/or start

The SPY ( 500 …

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Fehrm Report for week beginning November 13,2023

The QQQ is the strongest of our investable ETFs…A Big powerful up move on Friday, after only one day  pullback on Thursday.. We are now above all the moving averages…and above the trend line…The QQQ will need to stay above the moving averages and trend line to continue to be …

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Fehrm Report for Week beginning November 6,2023

Current Market Trends:

Short Term Trend  21 day m.a... UP

Intermediate TermTrend. 50 day m.a...   Up

Long Term Trend 200 day m.a...  Up..

Lets look at our 2 go to ETF”S for Equity exposure.

The QQQ( 100 largest technology companies) is the Strongest, above all moving averages…Your choice, looks …

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Fehrm Report for Week Beginning October 30,2024

MARKET TRENDS.

Short Term Trend..21 day moving average….DOWN.

Intermediate Trend…50 day moving average..DOWN

Long Term Trend….200 day moving average….Neutral to Down…

Lets look at some charts..

SPY Below All Moving…avoid for now..

The QQQ…The Strongest of ETFs…..holding the long term moving average, 200 day moving average (black line on chart) …

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Fehrm Report for Week Beginning October 23,2023

Markets in a downtrend for now, and below our key moving averages…We are now just watching until markets find their footing and turn around…

Quick review below..The QQQ is still the strongest of our tradable ETFs…but must hold current levels and turn up before we get back in….the black line, …

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Fehrm report for week October 9 thru October 13,2023

Let’s Review our 2 major ETFs..

Quick review of our trend following moving averages.

Short Term Trend..21 day m.a…

Intermediate Trend…50 day m.a.

Long Term…..200 day m.a..

The QQQ (100 largest Technology companies)…

Closing Price on Friday 365.28

Short Term Trend…Neutral..21 day price…365..

Intermediate Trend …Slightly Down..50 day price ..367.. 

Long …

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Fehrm Report for the week beginning October 9, 2023

Short Term Trend…UP..price above the 21 day m.a.

Intermediate Trend …DOWN..price below 50 day m.a.

Long Term Trend….Up…price above the 200 day .a.

 

QQQ for now is the Strongest of our 2 ETFs…Always your choice, ok to enter as long as price stays above the 21 day m.a.


A …

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Fehrm Report for week beginning October 2,2023

The 2 major ETFS we follow and Invest in had a negative performance for the quarter ending September 29,2023.

For those following our trend following methods ,had slightly positive performance for the quarter..

H

As Trend Followers..we use several price moving averages to determine trend…The choice is yours to choose …

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September 28,2023 update.

The Fear and Greed index falls to 25, for the first time since March 2023…

2 months ago,the index was showing extreme Greed..

Since the Fed’s last interest rate hike in July the index moved straight down..

Be patient..

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Quick Update. September 27,2023

Market is in a confirmed downtrend ,for now..

Cash is king

Be patient..We will stay focused,.When Markets improve,and they eventually will…the returns will be outstanding..

Yesterday’s performance….

Circled previous lows when markets bounced…this is what we will be watching…

Enjoy the Ride….

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FEHRM REPORT FOR WEEK OF SEPTEMBER 25,2023

For now nothing to do…but watch for markets to put in a low and begin a new Uptrend .

This is the time to do research on finding the best companies and/or ETF’s to invest in for longer term moves.

For shorter term investors , allocation to stocks in range …

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FEHRM Report Sept 13 - 2023

Market Conditions: stock market has been Choppy and consolidating. Using the SPY

                                  The current trend is Under Pressure..using the following moving Averages.
                                   Short term Trend. 21 day m.a.= mixed/ flattening
                                   Intermediate Trend. 50 day m.a. =mixed/flattening
                                   Long Term Trend. 200 day m.a. = Uptrend

Sector ETFs:   Only XLC(communications/software, XLE(energy) and …

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FEHRM Report Aug 22 - 2023

A sentence or two to describe the potential buy points. A sentence or two to describe the potential buy points. A sentence or two to describe the potential buy points.

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FEHRM Report July 25 - 2023

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FEHRM Report July 25th - 2023

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FEHRM Report June 30, 2023

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FEHRM Report March 23,2023

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